Message-ID: <28117617.1075863401925.JavaMail.evans@thyme>
Date: Thu, 18 Oct 2001 07:22:11 -0700 (PDT)
From: tradersummary@syncrasy.com
To: vkamins@ect.enron.com
Subject: Syncrasy Daily Trader Summary for Thu, Oct 18, 2001
Mime-Version: 1.0
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ANSI_X3.4-1968
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
X-From: tradersummary@syncrasy.com@ENRON
X-To: vkamins@ect.enron.com
X-cc: 
X-bcc: 
X-Folder: \VKAMINS (Non-Privileged)\Kaminski, Vince J\Deleted Items
X-Origin: Kaminski-V
X-FileName: VKAMINS (Non-Privileged).pst

=20
[IMAGE]=09


[IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE]        Syncrasy, =
LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  H=
ouston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com          Sales:  713.228.4407   D=
evelopment Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  =
Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      =09  =09 [IMAGE]    Complimentary version=
 of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.    - If you woul=
d like to receive this product early in the morning       please call Syncr=
asy at 713 228 4407 for more information       or send an email to subscrib=
e_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be added to this da=
ily email list       please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.co=
m     - If you would like to be removed from this daily email       please =
reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_trad=
ersummary@syncrasy.com       Data last updated: Thursday, Oct 18, 2001 at 0=
9:07AM ET    Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $5=
0,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more =
information please visit: AMS  or Aquila    Click here for a definition of =
'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'     Today: Thursday, October 18, 2001  =
 Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IM=
AGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(C=
TR) 58 NC ERCOT(SP) 79 NC FRCC(SE) 80 +1 MAAC(NE) 57 NC MAIN(CTR) 59 +1 MAP=
P(HP) 54 +2 NPCC(NE) 53 -2 SERC(SE) 67 -1 SPP(SP) 71 +3 WSCC(NW) 57 -1 WSCC=
(RK) 58 +3 WSCC(SW) 76 +1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Re=
g CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 54 52 49 53 54 64 73 74 Max 61 61 56 59 61 7=
1 80 78 Min 48 45 43 48 47 58 65 70 Range 13 16 13 11 14 13 15 8 StD-P 3.4 =
4.2 3.9 2.7 4.5 3.7 4.5 2.2 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10    Andy Weingarte=
n is unavailable for commentary today.  We look forward to his return on Fr=
iday.   Tomorrow: Friday, October 19, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp=
.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (C=
lick on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 58 -1 ERCOT(SP) 77 -1 FRCC(=
SE) 82 NC MAAC(NE) 62 -1 MAIN(CTR) 58 NC MAPP(HP) 57 +1 NPCC(NE) 59 -1 SERC=
(SE) 72 NC SPP(SP) 70 NC WSCC(NW) 62 NC WSCC(RK) 62 +2 WSCC(SW) 76 NC     R=
ange Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean =
54 57 56 57 58 69 72 74 Max 61 65 61 62 66 74 79 78 Min 47 48 50 53 48 62 6=
2 70 Range 14 17 11 9 18 12 17 8 StD-P 3.4 4.4 3.4 2.7 5.1 3.5 4.3 2.2 Coun=
t 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10   Day 3: Saturday, October 20, 2001   Syncrasy's =
Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE] =
 [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 62 NC ER=
COT(SP) 81 -1 FRCC(SE) 83 NC MAAC(NE) 65 +1 MAIN(CTR) 63 NC MAPP(HP) 61 NC =
NPCC(NE) 59 NC SERC(SE) 76 +1 SPP(SP) 76 +1 WSCC(NW) 59 NC WSCC(RK) 63 +1 W=
SCC(SW) 76 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE N=
W RK SE SP SW Mean 57 58 55 53 59 70 75 74 Max 63 66 60 59 66 77 81 76 Min =
51 50 50 48 51 63 68 70 Range 12 16 10 11 15 14 13 6 StD-P 3.2 4.7 2.9 3.3 =
4.9 4.3 4.5 1.8 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8   Day 4: Sunday, October 21, 2001   S=
yncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAG=
E][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR=
) 67 +1 ERCOT(SP) 83 +1 FRCC(SE) 84 NC MAAC(NE) 66 +1 MAIN(CTR) 65 +1 MAPP(=
HP) 57 +1 NPCC(NE) 60 NC SERC(SE) 77 +1 SPP(SP) 76 +1 WSCC(NW) 54 -1 WSCC(R=
K) 58 NC WSCC(SW) 72 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg =
CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 57 52 57 50 55 71 76 70 Max 63 59 62 54 62 78 =
81 73 Min 54 46 53 46 50 66 70 66 Range 9 13 9 8 12 12 11 7 StD-P 2.3 4.2 2=
.7 2.4 4.2 3.3 3.8 2.4 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6   Day 5: Monday, October 22, 2=
001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]=
  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   E=
CAR(CTR) 66 +1 ERCOT(SP) 83 +1 FRCC(SE) 85 +1 MAAC(NE) 69 +2 MAIN(CTR) 62 +=
1 MAPP(HP) 54 -1 NPCC(NE) 62 +2 SERC(SE) 78 +1 SPP(SP) 74 +1 WSCC(NW) 55 -1=
 WSCC(RK) 57 +1 WSCC(SW) 70 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]=
   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 55 55 60 50 53 73 77 68 Max 60 60 64 55=
 60 79 81 72 Min 51 49 57 45 46 69 74 63 Range 9 11 7 10 14 10 7 9 StD-P 2.=
9 3.6 1.9 3.4 4.8 3.5 2.6 3.3 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6   Day 6: Tuesday, Octob=
er 23, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE=
][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IM=
AGE]   ECAR(CTR) 69 +3 ERCOT(SP) 83 +1 FRCC(SE) 85 NC MAAC(NE) 69 +1 MAIN(C=
TR) 65 +2 MAPP(HP) 58 +1 NPCC(NE) 60 -1 SERC(SE) 79 +1 SPP(SP) 74 +1 WSCC(N=
W) 54 -1 WSCC(RK) 52 -3 WSCC(SW) 71 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE]=
 [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 61 53 57 46 48 74 78 69 Max 64 =
57 63 54 54 80 81 72 Min 57 47 54 40 40 72 75 64 Range 7 10 9 14 14 8 6 8 S=
tD-P 2.7 4.4 2.7 4.6 6.4 2.4 2.4 3.4 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5   Day 7: Wednesd=
ay, October 24, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix =
   [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlar=
ge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 66 +2 ERCOT(SP) 79 -2 FRCC(SE) 86 +1 MAAC(NE) 69 =
+1 MAIN(CTR) 59 -2 MAPP(HP) 52 -4 NPCC(NE) 63 +3 SERC(SE) 76 -1 SPP(SP) 66 =
-5 WSCC(NW) 54 NC WSCC(RK) 49 -5 WSCC(SW) 71 -1     Range Standard Deviatio=
n [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 57 46 62 46 42 74 73 6=
7 Max 61 54 65 54 56 78 78 71 Min 54 39 60 42 32 73 66 62 Range 7 15 5 12 2=
4 5 12 9 StD-P 2.2 5.7 1.3 3.4 8.9 1.4 5.3 3.6 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5   Day =
8: Thursday, October 25, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatilit=
y Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image=
 to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 45 NC ERCOT(SP) 62 -13 FRCC(SE) 77 NC MA=
AC(NE) 63 +3 MAIN(CTR) 42 -1 MAPP(HP) 39 -5 NPCC(NE) 61 +5 SERC(SE) 64 -5 S=
PP(SP) 49 -14 WSCC(NW) 47 +7 WSCC(RK) 40 -5 WSCC(SW) 67 +3     Range Standa=
rd Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 47 46 61 52=
 46 70 65 70 Max 54 56 62 56 55 74 74 72 Min 42 41 58 47 42 67 59 67 Range =
12 15 4 9 13 7 15 5 StD-P 4.1 4.4 1.1 4.0 3.9 2.3 4.8 2.2 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5=
 5 5   Day 9: Friday, October 26, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   =
Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click=
 on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 38 -11 ERCOT(SP) 61 -17 FRCC(SE=
) 70 -7 MAAC(NE) 44 NC MAIN(CTR) 38 -12 MAPP(HP) 36 -8 NPCC(NE) 45 NC SERC(=
SE) 54 -14 SPP(SP) 50 -17 WSCC(NW) 53 +13 WSCC(RK) 50 +13 WSCC(SW) 69 +4   =
  Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Me=
an 42 50 49 53 53 60 64 70 Max 53 58 55 59 58 64 75 75 Min 37 44 44 46 50 5=
7 58 68 Range 16 14 11 13 8 7 17 7 StD-P 5.5 6.1 4.6 3.3 2.8 2.4 5.6 2.1 Co=
unt 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4   Day 10: Saturday, October 27, 2001   Syncrasy's Choic=
e:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMA=
GE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 36 -16 ERCOT(=
SP) 67 -5 FRCC(SE) 64 -12 MAAC(NE) 42 -18 MAIN(CTR) 41 -1 MAPP(HP) 50 +14 N=
PCC(NE) 43 -11 SERC(SE) 51 -17 SPP(SP) 64 +13 WSCC(NW) 46 -5 WSCC(RK) 54 +1=
1 WSCC(SW) 67 -3     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP N=
E NW RK SE SP SW Mean 39 49 42 47 46 55 61 60 Max 41 56 44 49 55 62 67 67 M=
in 36 37 42 45 35 51 53 51 Range 5 19 2 4 20 11 14 16 StD-P 2.1 7.3 0.6 1.2=
 9.2 3.5 6.2 7.0 Count 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4    Trader Summary is designed around=
 and formatted for the  [IMAGE]Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall? =
  Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com  or     www.apben=
ergy.com  or  www.truequote.com     [IMAGE]  =09
=09=09=09
